FNUS75 KBOU 232156 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OVERLOOK FO9RE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 342 PM MDT SAT JUL 23 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. IT WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. THE STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED...WITH GUSTY WINDS TO 35 MPH AND LIGHTNING THE MAIN THREATS. MOISTURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON SUNDAY. IT WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER SUNDAY WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH WETTING RAINFALL IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). A FEW HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-84. MIN HUMIDITY........13-16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST-NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......14800 FT AGL UNTIL 1600. 8400 FT AGL AFTER 1700. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1600. FAIR AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-57. MAX HUMIDITY........63-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 6-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1000-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-81. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 11200-12200 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OVERLOOK FO9RE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/23-15 49 10 2 83 15 SE 8 8 4 2 SW 9 14708 SW 8 97326 G 07/23-16 49 10 2 81 16 SE 7 7 4 2 SW 8 11591 SW 7 74835 G 07/23-17 49 10 2 76 19 SE 6 6 3 2 SW 7 8475 S 7 52345 F 07/23-18 51 10 2 72 22 SE 6 6 3 2 SW 7 5358 S 7 29855 P 07/23-19 51 10 2 69 26 E 6 6 3 2 SW 9 3740 SE 7 20845 P 07/23-20 51 10 2 65 32 NE 6 6 3 2 SW13 2122 SE 7 11836 P 07/23-21 51 10 2 63 38 NE 6 6 3 2 SW15 504 E 7 2826 P 07/23-22 51 10 2 61 44 N 6 6 3 2 SW15 840 E 7 4595 P 07/23-23 51 10 2 60 51 NW 6 6 2 2 W16 1175 SE 6 6365 P 07/24-00 20 5 1 60 55 NW 6 6 2 1 W16 1511 SE 6 8134 P 07/24-01 20 5 1 59 58 NW 6 6 2 1 W17 1213 SE 6 6320 P 07/24-02 20 5 1 58 61 W 7 7 2 1 W18 916 SW 6 4506 P 07/24-03 20 5 1 58 61 W 7 7 2 1 W20 618 SW 5 2692 P 07/24-04 45 5 1 57 61 W 7 7 2 1 W20 614 SW 6 2821 P 07/24-05 45 5 1 57 62 W 7 7 2 1 W20 610 SW 6 2951 P 07/24-06 45 0 0 57 62 W 7 7 2 1 W20 606 SW 6 3080 P 07/24-07 45 0 0 58 63 SW 7 7 2 1 W17 2256 SW 7 17114 P 07/24-08 45 0 0 63 55 SW 7 7 2 1 W16 3905 SW 8 31147 P 07/24-09 38 0 0 71 44 S 7 7 2 1 W14 5554 SW 9 45181 F 07/24-10 38 0 0 75 40 S 7 7 2 1 W14 7719 SW 8 54991 F 07/24-11 38 0 0 78 38 S 6 6 3 1 W13 9885 SW 8 64801 G 07/24-12 68 44 21 79 37 SE 6 6 3 4 W13 12050 W 7 74610 G 07/24-13 68 44 21 80 35 SE 6 6 3 4 W14 12068 W 7 74659 G 07/24-14 68 44 21 80 35 S 6 6 2 4 W14 12086 W 7 74708 G 07/24-15 80 44 21 79 35 S 6 6 2 4 W15 12104 W 7 74758 G 07/24-16 80 44 21 78 37 S 6 6 2 4 W15 9546 W 5 50423 F 07/24-17 80 44 21 73 45 S 6 6 2 4 W15 6988 SW 2 26089 P 07/24-18 66 40 18 69 52 S 6 6 2 4 NW14 4430 CALM 1755 P 07/24-19 66 40 18 67 55 S 6 6 2 4 NW14 4402 CALM 3763 P 07/24-20 66 40 18 68 50 SW 6 6 2 4 NW13 4374 CALM 5771 P 07/24-21 66 40 18 69 45 SW 6 6 2 4 NW12 4346 S 2 7779 P 07/24-22 66 40 18 66 47 SW 6 6 2 4 W12 3244 S 5 7962 P 07/24-23 66 40 18 65 49 SW 6 6 2 4 W12 2142 S 7 8146 P 07/25-00 38 0 0 63 52 SW 6 6 2 1 W10 1041 S 9 8329 P 07/25-01 38 0 0 61 54 SW 6 6 2 1 W10 803 S 8 6219 P 07/25-02 38 0 0 59 56 SW 7 7 2 1 W 9 565 S 8 4108 P 07/25-03 38 0 0 58 57 SW 7 7 2 1 W 8 327 SW 7 1998 P 07/25-04 38 0 0 57 57 W 8 8 3 1 W 6 287 SW 7 1788 P 07/25-05 38 0 0 57 57 W 9 9 3 1 W 5 248 W 7 1578 P 07/25-06 56 0 0 57 55 W 9 9 4 1 NW 3 208 W 8 1369 P 07/25-07 56 0 0 59 52 SW 7 7 4 1 W 3 1990 W 7 11711 P 07/25-08 56 0 0 65 42 S 5 5 3 1 W 3 3771 W 7 22054 P 07/25-09 56 0 0 70 36 S 2 2 3 1 W 5 5553 W 7 32397 P 07/25-10 56 0 0 75 31 S 2 2 3 1 W 6 7893 W 7 47132 F 07/25-11 56 0 0 78 28 SE 5 5 3 1 W 7 10234 W 7 61868 G 07/25-12 66 20 4 80 27 SE 6 6 3 3 W 9 12575 W 7 76603 G 07/25-13 66 20 4 81 26 SE 7 7 3 3 W13 13024 W 8 92894 G 07/25-14 66 20 4 83 25 SE 7 7 3 3 W16 13474 W 9 109184 V 07/25-15 66 20 4 83 25 SE 7 7 3 3 W18 13924 W10 125474 V 07/25-16 66 20 4 84 26 SE 7 7 3 3 W18 13440 W 9 110812 V 07/25-17 66 20 4 83 28 SE 7 7 3 3 W17 12956 W 8 96149 G 07/25-18 63 30 9 82 30 SE 6 6 3 4 W15 12472 W 8 81486 G 07/25-19 63 30 9 79 32 S 5 5 3 4 W14 10028 W 6 58606 F 07/25-20 63 30 9 75 36 SW 3 3 2 4 W14 7584 W 5 35726 P 07/25-21 63 30 9 71 40 W 3 3 2 4 NW13 5140 W 2 12846 P 07/25-22 63 30 9 68 43 W 5 5 2 4 W12 3518 W 5 9162 P 07/25-23 63 30 9 66 43 W 7 7 2 4 W12 1897 W 6 5477 P 07/26-00 48 0 0 64 45 W 9 9 2 1 W12 275 W 8 1793 P 07/26-01 48 0 0 62 48 W10 10 2 1 W12 238 W 9 1742 P 07/26-02 48 0 0 60 50 W12 20 3 1 W13 201 W10 1692 P 07/26-03 48 0 0 58 52 W13 21 3 1 W13 165 W12 1641 P 07/26-04 48 0 0 57 54 W14 21 3 1 W14 163 W12 1643 P 07/26-05 48 0 0 57 54 W14 21 2 1 W15 161 W12 1645 P 07/26-06 56 0 0 58 53 W13 21 2 1 W15 159 W12 1647 P 07/26-07 56 0 0 59 51 W10 10 2 1 W13 1047 W13 11810 P 07/26-08 56 0 0 64 44 W 9 9 2 1 W12 1934 W13 21974 P 07/26-09 56 0 0 68 39 W 7 7 2 1 W10 2822 W13 32138 P 07/26-10 56 0 0 72 35 W 7 7 2 1 W10 5194 W13 53815 F 07/26-11 56 0 0 75 32 W 7 7 3 1 SW10 7566 W12 75492 G 07/26-12 74 30 9 77 31 W 7 7 3 4 SW12 9938 W12 97168 G 07/26-13 74 30 9 78 31 W 6 6 3 4 SW12 10552 W10 92993 G 07/26-14 74 30 9 79 31 W 5 5 2 4 SW13 11167 SW 9 88818 G 07/26-15 74 30 9 80 31 W 5 5 2 4 S13 11781 SW 8 84643 G 07/26-16 74 30 9 80 32 W 6 6 2 4 S13 11354 SW 8 82816 G 07/26-17 74 30 9 79 33 W 7 7 2 4 S14 10927 SW 8 80989 G 07/26-18 73 30 9 78 34 SW 7 7 2 4 S14 10500 SW 9 79162 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAN CARPENTER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110723.OVERL.01/BOU