FNUS75 KBOU 241138 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OVERLOOK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 540 AM MDT SUN JUL 24 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL SURGE BACK INTO THE REGION TODAY WITH A RETURN TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT HEAVY RAIN WITH THE SLOW MOVING STORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER ALONG WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82. MIN HUMIDITY........32%-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHEAST 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6600-7600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 11400-12400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OVERLOOK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/24-05 3 5 1 58 66 W13 20 3 1 SW15 832 W 7 3461 P 07/24-06 3 0 0 58 64 W13 21 3 1 S15 345 W 9 2878 P 07/24-07 3 0 0 60 60 SW 9 15 3 1 S16 1826 W 8 6482 P 07/24-08 3 0 0 65 52 S 6 6 3 1 S16 3306 SW 6 10086 P 07/24-09 3 0 0 70 46 SE 2 2 3 1 S16 4787 SW 3 13690 P 07/24-10 3 0 0 74 42 E 5 5 3 1 S15 7344 SW 3 28062 P 07/24-11 3 0 0 77 39 E 7 7 3 1 S14 9901 S 5 42435 F 07/24-12 3 34 13 78 38 E 9 15 3 4 SW12 12458 S 6 56808 F 07/24-13 60 34 13 80 36 E 7 7 3 4 SW13 12492 SW 6 57094 F 07/24-14 60 34 13 81 34 E 3 3 2 4 W13 12525 SW 6 57380 F 07/24-15 76 34 13 81 32 CALM 1 2 4 W13 12559 W 6 57666 F 07/24-16 76 34 13 82 33 SE 2 2 2 4 W13 12183 W 6 57007 F 07/24-17 76 34 13 81 35 S 5 5 2 4 W13 11808 W 6 56347 F 07/24-18 62 40 18 80 37 S 6 6 2 4 W13 11432 NW 6 55687 F 07/24-19 62 40 18 78 38 S 5 5 2 4 NW13 9367 W 7 50490 F 07/24-20 62 40 18 74 40 S 2 2 2 4 NW13 7302 S 8 45293 F 07/24-21 62 40 18 70 43 CALM 1 2 4 NW12 5237 SE 9 40096 F 07/24-22 62 40 18 67 46 CALM 1 2 4 NW 8 4294 SE 8 31876 P 07/24-23 62 40 18 66 48 W 2 2 2 4 W 3 3352 S 8 23657 P 07/25-00 38 0 0 63 51 W 5 5 2 1 CALM 2410 S 7 15437 P 07/25-01 38 0 0 61 53 W 7 7 2 1 CALM 1712 S 8 11080 P 07/25-02 38 0 0 60 55 W10 16 2 1 S 2 1014 SW 8 6723 P 07/25-03 38 0 0 58 56 W12 18 2 1 S 3 316 W 8 2367 P 07/25-04 38 0 0 57 58 W12 18 2 1 S 3 282 W 8 1982 P 07/25-05 38 0 0 57 59 W10 16 2 1 SW 3 248 W 7 1598 P 07/25-06 39 0 0 56 61 W 8 13 2 1 W 3 214 W 7 1214 P 07/25-07 39 0 0 57 60 SW 7 7 2 1 W 3 2084 W 6 7669 P 07/25-08 39 0 0 63 48 S 5 5 2 1 W 5 3953 W 5 14124 P 07/25-09 39 0 0 72 36 S 2 2 2 1 W 6 5823 W 5 20578 P 07/25-10 39 0 0 76 30 SE 3 3 2 1 W 7 8106 W 5 38877 P 07/25-11 39 0 0 80 27 SE 5 5 2 1 W 9 10389 W 6 57175 F 07/25-12 67 24 5 82 25 SE 7 7 2 3 W12 12672 SW 7 75473 G 07/25-13 67 24 5 83 25 SE 8 13 2 3 W14 12809 SW 8 85096 G 07/25-14 67 24 5 82 26 SE 8 14 2 3 W16 12947 SW 8 94718 G 07/25-15 67 24 5 82 27 SE 8 13 2 3 W17 13084 SW 9 104340 V 07/25-16 67 24 5 81 29 SE 7 7 2 3 W17 10652 SW 8 77095 G 07/25-17 67 24 5 76 34 S 5 5 2 3 W16 8220 SW 6 49850 F 07/25-18 53 22 4 72 40 S 3 3 2 3 W14 5788 SW 5 22605 P 07/25-19 53 22 4 68 47 S 3 3 2 3 W14 3949 SW 5 15510 P 07/25-20 53 22 4 65 53 SW 5 5 2 3 W14 2111 SW 6 8415 P 07/25-21 53 22 4 62 59 W 6 6 2 3 W13 272 SW 6 1320 P 07/25-22 53 22 4 60 60 W 7 7 2 3 W13 236 W 7 1313 P 07/25-23 53 22 4 59 59 W 9 14 3 3 W12 200 W 8 1307 P 07/26-00 38 0 0 59 56 W10 16 3 1 W12 163 W 9 1300 P 07/26-01 38 0 0 58 54 W12 18 3 1 W10 159 W10 1391 P 07/26-02 38 0 0 57 55 W13 20 3 1 W 8 155 W12 1482 P 07/26-03 38 0 0 57 55 W13 21 3 1 W 8 151 W12 1574 P 07/26-04 38 0 0 56 55 W13 21 3 1 W10 146 W12 1512 P 07/26-05 38 0 0 56 57 W13 20 3 1 W13 141 W12 1450 P 07/26-06 44 0 0 56 57 W12 18 3 1 W14 136 W12 1388 P 07/26-07 44 0 0 57 58 W10 16 3 1 W14 1443 W12 15772 P 07/26-08 44 0 0 62 50 W 8 14 3 1 W13 2751 W13 30156 P 07/26-09 44 1 0 70 39 W 7 7 3 1 W12 4059 W13 44539 F 07/26-10 44 1 0 74 34 W 6 6 3 1 W12 6342 W12 62947 G 07/26-11 44 1 0 77 30 W 6 6 3 1 SW13 8624 W12 81354 G 07/26-12 76 29 8 78 29 W 6 6 3 4 SW13 10906 W10 99761 G 07/26-13 76 29 8 79 29 W 6 6 3 4 SW13 11032 W10 95049 G 07/26-14 76 29 8 79 31 W 6 6 2 4 S12 11158 SW 9 90337 G 07/26-15 76 29 8 79 32 W 6 6 2 4 S12 11285 SW 9 85625 G 07/26-16 76 29 8 78 34 W 6 6 2 4 S14 9074 SW 9 71492 G 07/26-17 76 29 8 74 40 W 6 6 2 4 S16 6863 SW10 57360 F 07/26-18 72 50 26 70 45 W 6 6 2 4 S20 4653 SW10 43227 F 07/26-19 72 50 26 66 50 W 6 6 4 07/26-20 72 50 26 64 54 W 7 7 4 07/26-21 72 50 26 61 58 W 7 7 4 07/26-22 72 50 26 59 61 W 7 7 4 07/26-23 72 50 26 58 63 W 8 13 4 07/27-00 54 14 3 58 63 W 8 13 2 07/27-01 54 14 3 57 63 W 8 13 2 07/27-02 54 14 3 56 65 W 8 13 2 07/27-03 54 14 3 56 64 W 8 13 2 07/27-04 54 14 3 56 65 W 8 13 2 07/27-05 54 14 3 55 65 W 8 13 2 07/27-06 52 0 0 56 64 W 8 13 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...SHELLI MAVOR REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110723.OVERL.02/BOU