FNUS74 KLCH 231038 FWSLCH SPOT FORECAST FOR TOURBE...USF&WS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 538 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GOOD MORNING GATOR...LOOKS MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY AS EARLY MORNING CONVECTION FIRING WELL EAST OF THE SPOT FORECAST AREA. GENERALLY...CONVECTION MOST ACTIVE THIS MORNING ALONG A LAFAYETTE TO PECAN ISLAND LINE AND EAST. EXPECT CONVECTION TO FIRE IN YOUR AREA AROUND NOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE MAXIMUM DAYTIME HEATING HOURS UP TO 4 PM. DO NOT EXPECT ANY SEVERE WEATHER...HOWEVER WINDS COULD BE GUSTY AND VARIABLE IN AND AROUND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. PREDOMINANT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH AT EYE LEVEL EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........ SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 81 84 86 87 89 89 90 90 89 89 88 RH..............88 82 74 70 68 66 66 62 62 64 64 66 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 12 13 14 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. $$ FORECASTER...NAVEJAR REQUESTED BY...GATOR TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110723.TOURB.01/LCH