FNUS75 KBOU 242310 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MYERS SAR...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 509 PM MDT SUN JUL 24 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA WITH ONLY A 10% CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THROUGH 2400. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER 40S BY SUNRISE. ON MONDAY THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS AROUND 70. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 5200-6200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MYERSSAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/24-17 62 26 6 65 36 SW 7 7 3 4 W10 8269 W 7 46540 F 07/24-18 59 26 6 64 38 SW 6 6 3 4 W13 6998 W 6 36390 P 07/24-19 59 26 6 61 41 S 6 6 3 4 W14 4899 W 7 25703 P 07/24-20 59 26 6 58 45 S 6 6 2 4 W15 2801 S 7 15016 P 07/24-21 59 26 6 55 51 S 6 6 2 4 W16 702 SE 7 4329 P 07/24-22 59 26 6 52 56 S 6 6 2 4 W17 581 S 7 3491 P 07/24-23 59 26 6 50 60 S 5 5 2 4 W17 459 S 7 2653 P 07/25-00 21 0 0 50 61 S 5 5 2 1 W17 338 S 6 1815 P 07/25-01 21 0 0 50 60 S 5 5 2 1 W15 313 S 6 1579 P 07/25-02 21 0 0 49 63 SW 5 5 2 1 W13 289 S 6 1343 P 07/25-03 21 0 0 48 64 SW 5 5 2 1 W10 265 S 5 1108 P 07/25-04 17 0 0 48 64 SW 5 5 2 1 W10 262 SW 5 1051 P 07/25-05 17 0 0 49 63 SW 5 5 2 1 W12 259 SW 5 995 P 07/25-06 17 0 0 49 61 W 5 5 2 1 W12 257 SW 5 938 P 07/25-07 17 0 0 49 62 SW 5 5 2 1 W12 956 SW 5 4357 P 07/25-08 17 0 0 52 56 SW 5 5 2 1 W12 1656 SW 5 7777 P 07/25-09 22 0 0 58 46 SW 5 5 2 1 W10 2355 W 6 11196 P 07/25-10 31 0 0 62 40 SW 5 5 2 1 W10 4893 W 6 29562 P 07/25-11 35 0 0 65 37 SW 6 6 2 1 W12 7430 W 7 47927 F 07/25-12 43 27 7 67 35 SW 6 6 2 4 W12 9967 W 8 66293 G 07/25-13 51 27 7 69 32 SW 7 7 2 4 W14 10121 W 9 79154 G 07/25-14 63 27 7 70 31 SW 8 8 2 4 W16 10275 W10 92015 G 07/25-15 74 27 7 69 32 SW 8 8 2 4 W18 10429 W12 104875 V 07/25-16 74 27 7 68 35 SW 7 7 2 4 W17 9865 W12 94448 G 07/25-17 74 27 7 66 39 W 6 6 3 4 W15 9302 W10 84021 G 07/25-18 76 30 9 65 42 W 5 5 3 4 W15 8738 W 9 73594 G 07/25-19 76 30 9 62 46 W 3 3 3 4 W15 6059 W 8 49832 F 07/25-20 76 30 9 63 44 W 3 3 3 4 W17 3380 W 6 26070 P 07/25-21 76 30 9 60 48 W 2 2 3 4 W21 701 W 3 2308 P 07/25-22 76 30 9 57 50 W 2 2 3 4 W22 558 W 5 1909 P 07/25-23 76 30 9 56 50 W 3 3 2 4 W23 414 W 5 1511 P 07/26-00 32 0 0 54 51 W 5 5 2 1 W25 270 W 5 1112 P 07/26-01 32 0 0 52 52 W 5 5 2 1 W26 265 W 5 1143 P 07/26-02 32 0 0 51 53 W 5 5 2 1 W29 259 W 6 1175 P 07/26-03 32 0 0 50 54 W 5 5 2 1 W29 254 W 6 1206 P 07/26-04 32 0 0 49 56 W 5 5 2 1 W26 252 W 6 1218 P 07/26-05 32 0 0 49 57 W 5 5 2 1 W23 250 W 6 1229 P 07/26-06 49 0 0 49 58 W 5 5 2 1 W20 249 W 6 1241 P 07/26-07 49 0 0 51 58 W 6 6 2 1 W17 584 W 7 3688 P 07/26-08 49 0 0 54 54 W 6 6 3 1 SW15 920 W 7 6134 P 07/26-09 49 0 0 57 49 W 7 7 3 1 SW13 1256 W 8 8581 P 07/26-10 49 0 0 60 44 W 7 7 3 1 SW13 2938 W 9 26025 P 07/26-11 49 0 0 62 40 W 8 8 3 1 SW14 4621 W10 43468 F 07/26-12 78 40 18 64 39 W 8 8 3 4 SW15 6303 W12 60912 G 07/26-13 78 40 18 65 39 W 9 9 3 4 SW14 6145 W12 58841 F 07/26-14 78 40 18 65 41 W 9 9 2 4 SW13 5986 W10 56771 F 07/26-15 78 40 18 66 43 W10 10 2 4 SW13 5828 SW10 54701 F 07/26-16 78 40 18 66 43 W10 10 2 4 SW15 5679 W12 57347 F 07/26-17 78 40 18 66 44 W10 10 2 4 SW17 5530 W13 59992 F 07/26-18 77 40 18 65 45 W10 10 2 4 SW20 5381 W14 62638 G 07/26-19 77 40 18 63 47 W 9 9 2 4 SW18 4016 W13 46165 F 07/26-20 77 40 18 60 52 W 9 9 2 4 SW17 2650 W13 29692 P 07/26-21 77 40 18 57 57 W 8 8 2 4 SW16 1285 W12 13220 P 07/26-22 77 40 18 55 60 W 8 8 2 4 SW16 982 W12 9816 P 07/26-23 77 40 18 54 60 W 7 7 2 4 SW16 678 W10 6413 P 07/27-00 55 0 0 53 63 W 7 7 2 1 SW16 375 W 9 3010 P 07/27-01 55 0 0 51 66 W 7 7 2 1 SW16 348 W 8 2609 P 07/27-02 55 0 0 50 68 W 6 6 2 1 SW16 321 W 8 2208 P 07/27-03 55 0 0 49 69 W 6 6 2 1 SW17 293 W 7 1808 P 07/27-04 55 0 0 48 70 W 6 6 2 1 W18 290 W 7 1740 P 07/27-05 55 0 0 48 70 W 5 5 2 1 W20 286 W 7 1671 P 07/27-06 55 20 4 48 69 W 5 5 2 3 W21 283 W 7 1603 P 07/27-07 55 20 4 49 66 W 5 5 2 3 W20 939 W 7 5361 P 07/27-08 55 20 4 53 60 W 6 6 2 3 W18 1595 W 7 9119 P 07/27-09 55 20 4 56 54 SW 6 6 2 3 W18 2250 W 7 12877 P 07/27-10 55 20 4 59 49 SW 6 6 2 3 W18 3376 W 7 20546 P 07/27-11 55 20 4 61 46 SW 6 6 2 3 W20 4501 W 7 28215 P 07/27-12 80 30 9 62 45 SW 6 6 2 4 W21 5627 SW 7 35884 P 07/27-13 80 30 9 63 44 SW 7 7 2 4 SW21 6043 SW 8 42602 F 07/27-14 80 30 9 64 43 W 8 8 2 4 SW21 6460 W 9 49320 F 07/27-15 80 30 9 65 43 W 9 9 2 4 SW21 6877 W 9 56038 F 07/27-16 80 30 9 65 43 W 9 9 2 4 SW22 6533 W 9 54713 F 07/27-17 80 30 9 64 44 SW 8 8 2 4 SW23 6189 W10 53388 F 07/27-18 80 30 9 63 45 SW 7 7 2 4 SW25 5845 W10 52063 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110724.MYERS.01/BOU