FNUS72 KILM 241848 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 247 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1417 EDT ON JULY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER PATTERN WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY BUT SHOULD STALL BEFORE REACHING THIS FAR SOUTH. A LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD DEVELOP BOTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH 1000 FT WIND SPEEDS IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE. THIS JET SHOULD DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE BOTH MORNINGS. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............63. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............63 57 61 66 71 69 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP................78 79 86 91 92 93 RH..................93 90 72 61 58 58 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 13 13 16 17 LVORI...............5 5 2 1 1 1 ADI.................11 11 9 21 37 60 LAL.................2 2 2 2 3 4 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....13 TO 18 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............56. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............67 66 68 71 74 71 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP................91 87 84 83 82 81 RH..................62 71 77 81 83 86 20 FT WIND..........SW 8 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....14 12 12 11 11 11 LVORI...............1 3 4 6 6 6 ADI.................56 22 18 15 12 9 LAL.................4 3 3 3 3 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4900 FT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............37. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............67 65 68 72 76 73 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP................80 82 86 90 92 91 RH..................89 84 72 62 59 59 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 13 LVORI...............6 6 3 2 2 2 ADI.................9 11 20 30 37 35 LAL.................3 3 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110724.JUNIP.01/ILM