FNUS75 KABQ 260131
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAS CONCHAS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
731 PM MDT MON JUL 25 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
IT APPEARS THE SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED
FOR THIS EVENING. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LINGERING IN THE AREA MAY ALLOW
A FEW SHOWERS OR EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TONIGHT...BUT THE
THREAT APPEARS MINIMAL BASED ON CURRENT RADAR TRENDS. MODEST HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. STEERING FLOW WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF
A SOUTH/SOUTHWEST TO NORTH/NORTHEAST COMPONENT TOMORROW. THIS PATTERN
WOULD BE FAVORABLE OF STORMS FORMING OVER THE BURN SCAR THEN MIGRATE
NORTHEAST INTO LOS ALAMOS/RIO ARRIBA COUNTIES. BEST THREAT FOR STORMS
SHOULD BE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 PM MDT. MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW...THUS HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE A CONCERN. AS TYPICAL...EXPECT GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS WITH
ANY SHOWERS/STORMS. DPORTER

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT BECOMING 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51-63.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 53-70 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH...BECOMING TERRAIN
                       DOMINATED UNDER 6 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                       A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT...BECOMING 50 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-86.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 29-39 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 6 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                       TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH WITH BRIEF GUSTS UP
                       TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...46

$$

REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM PHILLIPS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110725.LASCO.01/ABQ