FNUS75 KGJT 252141
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR KANNAH CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
341 PM MDT MON JUL 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1447 MDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DEEP MONSOON MOISTURE LURKS IN THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS AND WILL SURGE INTO THE BURN SITE TONIGHT AND INTO
TUESDAY. EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL THREATEN MORE GUSTY ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WINDS THAN RAIN. THE THREAT OF WETTING RAINS INCREASES AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST CELLS WILL
PRODUCE PEA-SIZE HAIL. A WEAK DISTURBANCE...CURRENTLY OVER
CENTRAL ARIZONA...WILL WORK INTO WESTERN COLORADO ON TUESDAY. THIS
WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS THAT
WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM MOTION WILL BE FROM
SW TO NE AT AROUND 10 MPH. AS ALWAYS WITH THUNDERSTORMS...
BE AWARE OF LIGHTNING DANGER. FIVE SECONDS BETWEEN FLASH AND BANG
EQUALS ONE MILE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL LIKELY OVERCOME
                    NORMAL DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS. GUST 30 MPH
                    ARE LIKELY WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT DUE TO NO SURFACE INVERSION.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
                    AND OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL
                    HAIL POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL LIKELY OVERCOME
                    NORMAL DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS. GUST 30 MPH
                    ARE LIKELY WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD EXCEPT EXCELLENT NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...WTFOLEY  FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110725.KANNA.01/GJT