FNUS72 KILM 251438
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORNET...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1038 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1027 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THIS WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH
AND STALL NEAR THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER TUESDAY
AND DISSIPATE ON WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON...BUT THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS
SHOULD EXIST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........5.
MAX ADI.............66.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............89     81     62     63
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................86     91     91     91
RH..................70     61     61     65
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   SW 7   S 8    SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15
LVORI...............3      2      1      1
ADI.................11     26     44     65

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........5.
MAX ADI.............55.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............63     63     66     69     72     70
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................88     85     83     81     79     79
RH..................73     77     84     88     90     91
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   S 7    SW 6   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     10     10     10
LVORI...............1      3      4      4      5      5
ADI.................55     19     20     15     14     12

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........5.
MAX ADI.............41.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............68     66     59     59     59     61
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................77     80     84     89     90     90
RH..................94     85     76     68     66     65
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     15     15     15
LVORI...............5      4      3      3      1      3
ADI.................13     9      20     38     41     35

$$
FORECASTER...III
REQUESTED BY...DARRYL JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110725.HORNE.01/ILM