FNUS72 KILM 251928 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 328 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1400 EDT ON JULY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THIS WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH AND STALL NEAR THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER TUESDAY AND DISSIPATE ON WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON...BUT THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS SHOULD EXIST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............49. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 71 74 79 82 80 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................85 79 78 78 79 78 RH..................77 93 93 91 89 92 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 15 LVORI...............3 5 5 5 4 5 ADI.................49 10 12 18 16 15 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............36. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............76 74 74 74 74 73 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................78 79 84 88 89 89 RH..................94 90 78 67 64 64 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 2 2 ADI.................14 21 31 36 30 20 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............12. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............71 69 64 57 52 52 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................87 84 82 80 79 79 RH..................68 75 80 83 84 87 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............3 4 4 5 5 6 ADI.................12 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............52 52 54 55 57 55 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................78 80 85 89 91 91 RH..................91 85 72 61 58 58 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............7 5 3 3 3 3 ADI.................2 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110725.JUNIP.01/ILM