FNUS72 KILM 261859 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 259 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1440 EDT ON JULY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THIS WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A STALLED FRONT WEAKENS NEAR THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER. OPPRESSIVE HEAT WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE CAROLINAS. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH. MAX LVORI...........8. MAX ADI.............19. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............81 71 49 39 30 29 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP................81 76 75 74 73 73 RH..................78 98 100 99 98 100 20 FT WIND..........SE 1 S 2 S 2 SW 2 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 LVORI...............3 5 5 6 6 6 ADI.................19 4 4 3 3 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400-7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............39. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............30 39 42 45 48 50 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................73 75 83 90 93 94 RH..................100 100 75 58 51 48 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 3 NW 3 NE 2 E 1 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............9 5 3 1 2 2 ADI.................3 2 3 39 30 23 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............28. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............50 51 44 34 27 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................93 87 81 78 76 75 RH..................50 62 79 90 92 97 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 4 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............2 3 3 4 5 6 ADI.................28 9 10 9 8 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8100-8900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............14. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............28 28 30 33 36 33 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................75 77 85 92 95 96 RH..................99 95 74 57 49 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 4 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............6 4 3 2 2 2 ADI.................1 4 3 10 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...LEBO REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110725.SIMMO.01/ILM