FNUS76 KSEW 251527 FWSSEW SPOT FORECAST FOR TA-23 PIPELINE PRAIRIE...FT LEWIS FORESTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 827 AM PDT MON JUL 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON JULY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE. .DISCUSSION...A THUNDERSTORM COULD DEVELOP AT ANY POINT OVERHEAD THROUGH THE MORNING. A LINE OF SHOWERS ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE BURN AREA WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH...POTENTIALLY AFFECTING THE BURN AREA AROUND 1015 AM IF IT HOLDS TOGETHER. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE TODAY WITH PLENTY OF INSTABILITY IN ADVANCE OF IT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY AS IT SWINGS THROUGH. AT THE SAME TIME IT WILL ALSO GENERATE AN ONSHORE PUSH OF MARINE AIR...WITH A DECENT SOUTHWEST TO WEST BREEZE DEVELOPING. FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS. CWR.................26 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...CERNIGLIA REQUESTED BY...DAN LEEPER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110725.TA23P.01/SEW