FNUS75 KBOU 271145 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COVE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 545 AM MDT WED JUL 27 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE WEATHER PATTERN HAS CHANGED VERY LITTLE OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES WITH LIGHT AND MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA. DAYTIME HEATING WILL SPARK ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG AND PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING... AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH. TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY READINGS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THOSE OBSERVED YESTERDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-78. MIN HUMIDITY........28-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/ UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...INCREASING TO 9200-10200 FT AGL BY 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0-4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COVE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/27-05 70 7 1 54 77 NW 2 2 2 1 SW30 332 W 6 1567 P 07/27-06 59 10 2 54 78 NW 2 2 2 2 SW28 337 W 5 1454 P 07/27-07 59 10 2 52 84 NW 2 2 2 2 SW26 1460 W 6 10586 P 07/27-08 59 10 2 53 82 NW 3 3 2 2 SW24 2583 W 8 19718 P 07/27-09 56 10 2 57 71 NW 3 3 2 2 SW23 3706 W 9 28850 P 07/27-10 56 10 2 63 56 SW 3 3 2 2 SW21 5450 W 9 42513 F 07/27-11 56 10 2 69 44 SE 5 5 2 2 W20 7194 W 9 56177 F 07/27-12 80 52 28 73 37 E 5 5 2 4 W18 8937 W 9 69840 G 07/27-13 80 52 28 75 33 SE 6 6 2 4 W16 9444 W 8 63664 G 07/27-14 80 52 28 77 30 S 7 7 2 4 W15 9950 SW 7 57487 F 07/27-15 91 52 28 77 30 SW 7 7 2 4 W14 10456 SW 6 51310 F 07/27-16 91 52 28 75 34 SW 6 6 2 4 W13 9749 S 5 36684 P 07/27-17 91 52 28 70 42 W 5 5 2 4 SW12 9042 E 2 22059 P 07/27-18 84 43 20 73 41 NW 3 3 2 4 SW12 8334 CALM 7433 P 07/27-19 84 43 20 69 49 W 2 2 2 4 SW12 6934 NE 2 11308 P 07/27-20 84 43 20 68 53 CALM 1 2 4 SW13 5534 NE 3 15183 P 07/27-21 61 43 20 64 61 CALM 1 2 4 SW14 4135 NE 6 19058 P 07/27-22 61 43 20 62 68 SW 2 2 2 4 SW15 3066 N 5 13442 P 07/27-23 61 43 20 60 72 W 3 3 2 4 SW15 1998 NW 3 7826 P 07/28-00 47 3 1 59 72 W 5 5 2 1 SW15 930 W 2 2211 P 07/28-01 47 3 1 58 74 W 6 6 2 1 SW16 741 W 3 1970 P 07/28-02 47 3 1 57 74 W 6 6 2 1 SW17 553 W 5 1730 P 07/28-03 35 3 1 56 74 W 6 6 2 1 SW18 364 W 5 1490 P 07/28-04 35 3 1 54 76 W 6 6 2 1 SW20 317 W 5 1318 P 07/28-05 35 3 1 53 76 W 6 6 2 1 SW18 270 W 5 1146 P 07/28-06 41 3 1 52 77 W 6 6 2 1 W18 222 W 5 973 P 07/28-07 41 3 1 50 80 W 5 5 2 1 W17 749 W 5 2342 P 07/28-08 41 3 1 51 77 W 3 3 2 1 SW16 1276 W 3 3711 P 07/28-09 41 4 1 56 65 NW 2 2 2 1 SW15 1803 W 3 5080 P 07/28-10 41 4 1 63 49 N 2 2 2 1 SW15 4568 W 5 23096 P 07/28-11 41 4 1 70 38 NE 2 2 2 1 SW15 7333 SW 6 41111 F 07/28-12 76 29 8 75 32 E 3 3 2 4 SW16 10098 SW 7 59127 F 07/28-13 76 29 8 78 29 E 5 5 2 4 W16 10519 SW 7 61308 G 07/28-14 76 29 8 79 28 E 5 5 2 4 W17 10939 SW 7 63489 G 07/28-15 76 29 8 80 28 E 6 6 2 4 W17 11359 SW 7 65671 G 07/28-16 76 29 8 78 31 SE 7 7 2 4 W16 10668 SW 6 58468 F 07/28-17 76 29 8 73 37 SE 9 14 2 4 W16 9977 SW 6 51265 F 07/28-18 71 29 8 76 34 SE 9 15 2 4 W15 9287 SW 6 44063 F 07/28-19 71 29 8 72 40 E 7 7 2 4 W14 7566 SW 5 32238 P 07/28-20 71 29 8 70 43 E 5 5 2 4 W13 5846 S 3 20413 P 07/28-21 71 29 8 66 49 E 2 2 2 4 W12 4125 S 2 8588 P 07/28-22 71 29 8 64 55 E 2 2 2 4 W10 3011 S 3 6718 P 07/28-23 71 29 8 62 58 S 3 3 2 4 W10 1896 S 3 4848 P 07/29-00 43 10 2 61 59 SW 5 5 2 2 NW10 782 S 5 2978 P 07/29-01 43 10 2 60 62 SW 5 5 2 2 W12 659 SW 5 2542 P 07/29-02 43 10 2 59 64 SW 5 5 2 2 W12 537 SW 5 2106 P 07/29-03 43 10 2 58 67 SW 5 5 2 2 W13 414 SW 5 1670 P 07/29-04 43 10 2 56 70 W 5 5 2 2 W14 362 SW 5 1459 P 07/29-05 43 10 2 55 72 W 5 5 2 2 W15 310 SW 5 1249 P 07/29-06 48 10 2 54 74 W 5 5 2 2 W15 257 W 5 1039 P 07/29-07 48 10 2 52 79 W 5 5 2 2 W13 658 W 5 2265 P 07/29-08 48 10 2 53 78 SW 3 3 2 2 W 9 1059 W 3 3492 P 07/29-09 48 10 2 57 67 S 3 3 2 2 W 7 1460 W 3 4719 P 07/29-10 48 10 2 64 52 S 3 3 2 2 W 7 4175 W 3 11452 P 07/29-11 48 10 2 70 41 S 3 3 3 2 W 7 6890 W 3 18186 P 07/29-12 64 37 15 74 34 SE 3 3 3 4 W 8 9605 W 3 24919 P 07/29-13 64 37 15 77 31 SE 3 3 3 4 W10 10228 W 3 25904 P 07/29-14 64 37 15 78 29 SE 5 5 3 4 W13 10852 W 2 26888 P 07/29-15 64 37 15 79 30 SE 5 5 3 4 W15 11476 W 2 27873 P 07/29-16 64 37 15 76 33 SE 5 5 3 4 W15 10761 W 2 22362 P 07/29-17 64 37 15 72 40 SE 6 6 2 4 W15 10047 SW 2 16850 P 07/29-18 68 37 15 75 38 SE 6 6 2 4 W14 9333 CALM 11339 P 07/29-19 68 37 15 71 45 S 6 6 2 4 NW12 6814 CALM 8165 P 07/29-20 68 37 15 69 49 S 5 5 2 4 NW 8 4296 CALM 4991 P 07/29-21 68 37 15 66 55 S 5 5 2 4 NW 6 1778 CALM 1818 P 07/29-22 68 37 15 63 62 S 5 5 2 4 NW 7 1269 SE 2 1488 P 07/29-23 68 37 15 61 67 SW 3 3 2 4 NW 8 760 S 3 1159 P 07/30-00 48 15 3 61 69 SW 3 3 2 3 NW 8 251 S 3 829 P 07/30-01 45 15 3 60 71 SW 3 3 2 3 NW 7 247 SW 3 805 P 07/30-02 43 15 3 59 72 SW 3 3 2 3 NW 5 243 SW 3 781 P 07/30-03 40 15 3 57 75 W 3 3 2 3 NW 2 238 SW 3 757 P 07/30-04 37 15 3 55 77 W 3 3 2 3 CALM 215 W 3 686 P 07/30-05 35 15 3 54 78 W 3 3 2 3 CALM 191 W 3 616 P 07/30-06 32 4 2 53 78 W 3 3 2 4 CALM 168 W 3 545 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110726.COVE_.02/BOU