FNUS74 KEPZ 262252
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SAN ANDRES UNIT 22...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
452 PM MDT TUE JUL 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1640 MDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE OVER THE ORGAN AND SAN
ANDRES MOUNTAINS...AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTH OF
LAS CRUCES.  THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ORGANS MAY CLIP THE BURN AREA OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.  ALSO EXPECT A FEW MORE STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE SAN ANDRES NORTH OF THE BURN SITE AS OUTFLOW FROM STORMS OVER THE
JORNADA RANGE INTERACT WITH THE SAN ANDRES MOUNTAINS.  ALSO...EXPECT
VARIABLE WIND DIRECTIONS WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AROUND THUNDERSTORMS
AND OUTFLOW.

OTHERWISE...ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT...WITH A NORTHWEST DRAINAGE
FLOW SETTING UP AFTER MIDNIGHT.  WINDS TOMORROW WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
AND OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS...SIMILAR
TO TODAY.  THURSDAY MAY SEE AN UPTICK IN COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE LOWLANDS.



.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10600-11300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 9 KNOTS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........50,800 KNOT-FEET (FAIR)

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...LUIS RE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110726.SANAN.02/EPZ