FNUS72 KILM 261856 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 256 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1449 EDT ON JULY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THIS WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A STALLED FRONT WEAKENS NEAR THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER. OPPRESSIVE HEAT WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS INTO THE CAROLINAS. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............15. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............91 84 82 79 75 68 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................80 76 75 74 73 73 RH..................84 98 99 99 100 100 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 2 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............4 4 6 6 6 6 ADI.................15 6 7 4 5 6 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............41. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............62 60 56 52 48 48 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TEMP................73 75 82 87 90 91 RH..................100 100 77 63 61 59 20 FT WIND..........W 2 NW 4 NW 2 NW 1 S 2 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 LVORI...............8 5 3 1 2 2 ADI.................7 6 5 41 29 17 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............28. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............48 51 44 34 27 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................89 83 78 76 75 74 RH..................63 75 90 97 96 97 20 FT WIND..........S 6 SW 5 SW 2 SW 2 S 4 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 3 4 4 5 5 ADI.................25 12 9 5 6 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6900-7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............27. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............30 31 36 43 49 45 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................75 76 85 91 92 92 RH..................98 97 74 60 58 59 20 FT WIND..........S 2 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............6 6 4 2 2 2 ADI.................3 1 1 10 5 17 $$ FORECASTER...LEBO REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110726.JUNIP.01/ILM