FNUS75 KRIW 262130 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTON POINT...USFS SHF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 330 PM MDT TUE JUL 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0929 MDT ON JULY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN PRESENT AROUND THE FIRE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE OVER THE FIRE WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS. THESE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN PRESENT OVER THE FIRE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. SHALLOW MORNING INVERSIONS WILL IMPACT THE FIRE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THOUGH INVERSIONS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WILL REMAIN OVER THE FIRE...WITH HUMIDITY DIPPING INTO THE UPPER TEENS. WIND IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WIND...WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY MAY INCREASE FIRE ACTIVITY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...BRANHAM .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) BY 0100. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-45 BELOW 9000 FT...40-44 ABOVE 9000 FT. MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT BELOW 9000 FT...55-60 PERCENT ABOVE 9000 FT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH 0200. THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH BY 0200. LAL.................2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1700 FT AGL BY 0200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (145600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (26700 KNOT-FT) BY 0200. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) BY 0500. SKIES THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) BY 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72 BELOW 9000 FT...65-69 ABOVE 9000 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT BELOW 9000 FT...18-23 PERCENT ABOVE 9000 FT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH BY 1100. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY 1400. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7700 FT AGL BY 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH BY 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (82400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (180800 KNOT-FT) BY 1500. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20 TO 30 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR BY 0100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43 BELOW 9000 FT...36-40 ABOVE 9000 FT. MAX HUMIDITY........52-56 PERCENT BELOW 9000...55-60 PERCENT ABOVE 9000 FT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 5 TO 9 MPH BY 0200. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY 0200. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH...BECOMING 3 AFTER 0100. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-63000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1170-1300 FT AGL BY 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 TO 32 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (43500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (20500 KNOT-FT) BY 0300. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BRANHAM REQUESTED BY...JESSE DUHNKRACK REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110726.NORTO.01/RIW