FNAK79 PAFG 281322
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 504-MINOOK CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
522 AM AKDT THU JUL 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1840 AKDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FIRE TODAY.
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MOIST AND WILL BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE FORMATION
OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
EXCELLENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
TOMORROW THE MOST UNSTABLE AIR WILL BE EAST OF THE FIRE AND
IT LOOKS TO BE A DRY DAY. RAIN AND COOLER WEATHER WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH
                    BY NOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...THEN 1 AFTER 2200.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER NOON.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...JULIE VORACHEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110727.504MI.02/AFG