FNUS73 KAPX 262245 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNRISE RX DAY 2...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 645 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OVERHEAD TONIGHT THEN SLOWLY EAST OF THE STATE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN RAIN-FREE WEATHER FOR THE NORTH WOODS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THIS WILL OPEN THE DOOR FOR A WARM FRONT WORK NORTHWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY LATE IN THE DAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL TRIGGER A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT MAY ULTIMATELY WORK THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND PARTICULARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LIGHT WINDS TO START THE DAY WEDNESDAY...THROUGH IGNITION TIME. BUT AS THE HIGH RETREATS EAST...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTINESS POSSIBLE BY LATE IN THE DAY. ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WILL PRODUCED GUSTY...VARIABLE WINDS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........36 36 20 11 6 6 6 6 9 15 21 26 WEATHER COV..... PTY WEATHER TYPE.... FOG TEMP............72 70 69 65 60 57 55 53 52 51 50 50 RH..............55 59 63 73 87 96 96 100 100 96 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW SW S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 5 SMOKE DISP......600 500 400 200 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........32 38 41 41 41 57 57 57 70 70 70 76 WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY CHC WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW TEMP............50 51 54 59 65 70 72 74 76 79 80 80 RH..............100 100 96 83 73 63 57 53 50 47 47 51 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 SMOKE DISP......0 0 0 100 300 500 500 500 400 400 400 500 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110727.SUNRI.01/APX