FNUS74 KEPZ 271335
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SAN ANDRES UNIT 22...US FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
735 AM MDT WED JUL 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL KEEP MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS VERY
LIGHT TODAY AND THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW MOIST SUBTROPICAL
AIR TO REMAIN IN PLACE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY WILL BE SLOW MOVING WITH HEAVY RAIN. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL MOST LIKELY DEVELOP OVER HIGHER TERRAIN JUST WEST OF
THE BURN SITE DURING MID AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD OUT ACROSS THE
LOWER DESERT AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TRIGGER ADDITIONAL STORMS.
ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT...THEN PICK UP AGAIN FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT THIS MORNING...THEN NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........POOR (27600 KT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS TIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT TIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED TO
                    WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-100.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT IN THE MORNING...THEN EAST 4 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........FAIR (40800 KT-FT).


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...JASON RIGGINS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110727.SANAN.01/EPZ