FNUS72 KJAX 271830
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER PRAIRIE WILD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
230 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 EDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TONIGHT. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE POSITIONED JUST NORTH
OF THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A SE FLOW REGIME
EXPECTED. HIGHER WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER OVER THE
AREA...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...
                    THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....75.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........78     85     85     85     78     78
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............86     82     79     78     77     75
RH..............62     71     79     85     89     92
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 6   SE 3   SE 1   SE 1   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   2800   2800   700    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10   S 10   S 10   S 7    SE 3   SE 3
LAL.............4      2      2      2      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...
                    THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........78     73     73     73     65     65
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     76     85     91     93     92
RH..............95     92     72     60     54     56
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 2   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....700    2900   2900   4300   5300   5300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   E 9    E 9
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110727.JUNIP.01/JAX