FNUS74 KEPZ 292247
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BEAVER...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
447 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1626 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE BURN AREA WILL BE MOVING INTO
THE AREA BY 6-7 PM WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING
UNTIL MIDNIGHT OR LATER.  AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE FROM
FAR WEST TEXAS COMBINED WITH MOISTURE FROM FORMER T.S. DON WILL
KEEP SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS NEAR/OVER THE BURN AREA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

EXPECT LOCAL WINDS TO 35 MPH IN OUTFLOWS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.  SEVERAL OF THE STORMS OVER
THE PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS HAVE BEEN PRODIGIOUS LIGHTNING PRODUCERS
OVER WESTERN NM AND MAY BE AGAIN TONIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. HEAVY RAIN LIKELY IN STORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN LATE TONIGHT. LOCAL
                    GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE EVENING IN THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH.
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR OVERNIGHT

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAIN LIKELY IN STORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    IN THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 KTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR IN THE MORNING IMPROVING TO GOOD DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON

$$
FORECASTER...MACBLAIN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110729.BEAVE.01/EPZ