FNUS75 KPUB 310035
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE CREEK...PIDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
635 PM MDT SAT JUL 30 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

BURN AREA TO REMAIN UNDER MONSOON PLUME THROUGH SUNDAY.  THIS MEANS
THE PATTERN OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...PEA SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS WILL CONTINUE.  DUE TO THE MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE REGION...
HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT SHOULD BE QUITE GOOD...AND MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL BE RATHER MODEST.  THE JETSTREAM
WILL REMAIN SITUATED WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE BURN AREA THROUGH SUNDAY...
SO WINDS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE...MOSTLY BEING DRIVEN BY DIURNAL
CIRCULATIONS AND THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW. POSSIBLY SOME WETTING SHOWERS
ACROSS THE BURN AREA YET THIS EVENING AND PROBABLY AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    POSSIBLE UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHERLY AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110730.CASTL.01/PUB