FNUS71 KRNK 301408 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR 303 FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1008 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0955 EDT ON JULY 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT NEAR THE LOCATION OF THE SPOT FORECAST THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTH LATER TODAY AND STALL NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER TONIGHT. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A CHALLENGING WIND FORECAST. SOME HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS ALLOW FOR THE WINDS AT THE SPOT SITE TO BECOME SOUTHERLY FOR A FEW HOURS...3 PM TO 6 PM...BEFORE THE FRONT FINALLY PUSHES SOUTH. AS A RESULT...THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE WIND DIRECTION FORECAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............7 18 42 55 56 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................74 80 83 87 86 RH..................88 70 61 55 56 20 FT WIND..........NW 2 NW 2 N 5 NW 5 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 1 NW 2 N 4 NW 4 N 3 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 10 5 CWR.................0 20 20 40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............72 100 73 60 70 67 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD TEMP................84 80 75 72 70 69 RH..................60 70 80 85 87 91 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 NW 2 N 2 NE 2 NE 1 NE 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 2 NW 1 N 1 NE 1 NE 1 NE 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 CWR.................50 60 50 40 30 20 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............63 62 62 61 59 54 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD S CHC S CHC TEMP................67 68 74 79 82 84 RH..................97 93 76 64 57 53 20 FT WIND..........NE 1 NW 1 NE 1 E 2 S 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 1 NW 1 NE 1 E 1 S 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 5 CWR.................20 10 10 10 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...HYSELL REQUESTED BY...GWJ NF TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110730.303FI.01/RNK