FNUS75 KRIW 011710 CCA
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTON POINT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1053 AM MDT MON AUG 1 2011

UPDATED TO INCLUDE FLASH FLOOD WATCH

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1100 MDT ON AUG 1.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES IS EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THIS EVENING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA. OVER AN INCH OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN IN THE PAST 6 HOURS UPSTREAM...THIS AREA OF RAINFALL IS
HEADED TOWARD THE AREA.

TODAY WILL DELIVER THE BEST CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS AS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BLANKET THE AREA. TUESDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER
AND DRYER AS THE POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS LACK A BOUNDARY UPON
WHICH TO FORM AND AS THE RICHER MOISTURE SHIFTS EAST ...BUT THERE
IS STILL A CHANCE FOR A WET THUNDERSTORM AS THE EFFECTS OF THE MONSOON
REMAIN.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...ALLEN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN. WIDELY SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    /UPVALLEY AFTER 1500. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.100 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (25400-57700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING
SOUTHWEST TOWARD MORNING EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WHERE GUSTS TO 30 MPH
ARE EXPECTED.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...JESSE DUHNKRACK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110731.NORTO.01/RIW