FNUS71 KRNK 311558 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR 303 FIRE...U. S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1158 AM EDT SUN JUL 31 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1142 EDT ON JULY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO THE VA/NC BORDER TODAY BEFORE HEADING SOUTH TONIGHT. THE BULK OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...WE CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT AS FAR NORTH AS THE BURN SITE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE PEAK HEATING OF THE DAY. YOU ARE MORE LIKELY THOUGH TO REMAIN RAIN-FREE THAN TO EXPERIENCE PRECIPITATION. TRICKY CALL ON CLOUD COVER TODAY. THE BURN SITE IS GOING TO BE NEAR THE DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN EXPANSIVE CLOUD COVER THAT WILL EXTEND SOUTH TO NORTH CAROLINA...AND A REGION OF VARIABLE CLOUD COVER THAT WILL FILL IN A BIT MORE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING. THE TREND THIS COMING WEEK WILL BE A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY WEDNESDAY. THEN BY FRIDAY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............30 58 70 62 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................78 82 84 83 RH..................72 61 56 57 20 FT WIND..........NW 1 NE 2 NE 2 E 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 1 NE 1 NE 2 E 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 CWR.................20 30 40 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............58 51 50 40 23 21 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................81 76 71 68 66 64 RH..................62 74 85 90 92 97 20 FT WIND..........SE 4 S 4 S 2 S 1 NW 1 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 3 S 3 S 2 S 1 NW 1 NW 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 5 CWR.................30 20 20 10 10 10 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............23 25 20 15 12 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 66 73 79 83 86 RH..................100 88 68 56 49 45 20 FT WIND..........NW 2 W 0 N 1 NE 2 N 4 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 1 W 0 N 1 NE 1 N 3 NW 4 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 10 10 CWR.................10 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...SLEIGHTER REQUESTED BY...GWJ NF TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110731.303FI.02/RNK