FNUS73 KAPX 010117 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNRISE UNIT 2...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 917 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FOR MONDAY... .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER MONDAY WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. IGNITION TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S WILL QUICKLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 BY EARLY AFTERNOON. CORRESPONDING RH VALUES WILL DROP ACCORDINGLY THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON... REACHING NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GENERALLY LIGHT WEST NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE DAY...OCCASIONALLY GUSTY BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SUBSTANTIAL RH RECOVERY EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AS WINDS QUICKLY SUBSIDE AND TEMPERATURES DROP BACK THROUGH THE 60S. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 91. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1100). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........24 24 24 24 29 29 29 29 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............75 80 83 85 87 88 89 88 RH..............60 52 44 39 35 33 32 33 20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 SMOKE DISP......200 300 500 700 900 11001100900 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........29 29 42 42 42 42 42 42 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............86 83 80 76 72 69 67 67 66 65 63 63 RH..............35 40 45 54 64 70 73 70 73 78 90 93 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110801.SUNRI.01/APX