FNUS72 KMFL 011645 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR STRIKER...NPS BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1245 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1210 EDT ON AUGUST 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE BURN AREA WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE FROM A SOUTHERLY FLOW NEAR 5 KNOTS TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM 5 TO 10 KNOTS AS THE AFTERNOON WEST COAST SEA BREEZE STARTS TO PENETRATE INLAND. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN AREA STARTING AROUND 18Z...WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE BURN AREA AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL AS SMALL HAIL. FOR TONIGHT...TRANSPORT WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY BUT LIGHT. FOG FORMATION ACROSS THE BURN AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT MIGHT BE POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED AREAS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....33. LVORI...............2. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP............90 92 91 87 81 78 RH..............65 60 62 77 86 91 20 FT WIND......S 3 SW 3 W 4 W 4 W 4 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 3 SW 3 W 4 W 4 W 4 NW 4 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 4900 4900 4400 2500 2500 MIXNG WIND......S 5 SW 5 W 7 W 7 W 7 NW 7 DISPERSION IDX..29 31 36 36 20 20 LVORI...........2 2 2 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 20 20 LAL.............3 3 3 3 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 2. LVORI...............10. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 96. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 46. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...DIEHL REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110801.STRIK.01/MFL