FNUS73 KMQT 011351 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR M-2 NORTH DAY 4...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 951 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE FIRE SITE INTO THIS EVENING LEADING TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...HUMIDITY FALLING TO AROUND 40 PERCENT...AND WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. A DISTURBANCE TRACKING INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE SITE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS OVER AN INCH ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 0800 AND 1400 ON TUESDAY. THE RAIN AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD LEAD TO FOG LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 AT IGNITION...MAX 84. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (257) AT IGNITION INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (674) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 2500-4500 FT AGL BY NOON. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........31 28 28 31 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 82 83 83 82 RH..............56 45 43 42 45 GENERAL WIND....NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 W 5 W 5 GENERAL GUST....15 15 15 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.257 584 580 315 183 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 3900 4500 3500 2600 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 62. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 28 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (14). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.17 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........34 44 58 68 78 90 WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............80 74 68 66 65 62 RH..............48 60 72 76 86 100 GENERAL WIND....W 5 W 5 S 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 GENERAL GUST.... 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.146 67 14 43 50 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 700 100 300 300 200 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...DIMINISHING BY LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 72 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................5 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....1.04-1.42 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........100 98 94 92 88 83 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............65 70 76 77 78 77 RH..............96 85 73 72 72 73 GENERAL WIND....SE 8 SE 8 S 10 SE 10 SE 10 NE 8 GENERAL GUST....15 15 20 20 20 15 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110801.M2NOR.01/MQT