FNUS75 KMSO 012030
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAP GULCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
230 PM MDT MON AUG 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1412 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING SOUTH
AND WEST OF THE FIRE. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
BUT SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK WITH THE BIGGEST THREAT BEING BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN. HOWEVER GIVEN THE LOCALIZED NATURE OF THE STRONGER PRECIPITATION
AREAS WITHIN THESE STORMS FEEL A WETTING RAIN MAY STILL BE CHALLENGING
ON THE SMALL FIRE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. WINDS APPEAR TO STAY FAIRLY LIGHT WITH ONLY LOCALIZED GUSTS
POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. MEANWHILE EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP UNDER SIMILAR CONDITIONS TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6-8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$

FORECASTER...DICKERSON
REQUESTED BY...LEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110801.SOAPG.01/MSO