FNUS71 KAKQ 021528
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH ROAD FIRE...NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF FOREST SERVICES (NCDFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1128 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1105 EDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY TURN NORTH AND WEAKEN
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR THE INFLUENCE OF THE SEABREEZE
AND WINDS TURNING TO THE NORTHEAST. SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL
DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
OHIO VALLEY. A DRYING NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ON
THURSDAY WITH A TRANSITORY RIDGE BUILDING BACK OVER THE REGION
FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST TO NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7500-7600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (48800 FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO GOOD (64600-84000
                    FT-MPH) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........10  7   9   10  10  10  12  14  16  18  20  22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............90  91  92  93  94  94  93  92  90  87  84  82
RH..............69  61  53  45  43  40  43  49  52  57  59  63
20 FT WIND DIR..W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   8   7   6   5   5   4   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.13  13  15  13  12  10  9   8   7   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 6.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 5.5 4.9 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  E   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  12  13  13  13  13  12  9   7   5   5   5



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...T HURDLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110802.NORTH.01/AKQ