FNUS75 KBOU 022032 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 230 PM MDT TUE AUG 2 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP DURING THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HEAVY RAIN WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 40 MPH WITH THE STORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54. MAX HUMIDITY........88%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 5600-6600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOST. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/02-14 79 60 38 74 43 SE 8 13 2 5 W18 7276 S 2 14335 P 08/02-15 79 60 38 75 42 SE 9 15 2 5 W16 7056 CALM 9494 P 08/02-16 79 60 38 75 43 SE 9 15 2 5 W15 6713 S 2 15697 P 08/02-17 79 60 38 74 44 SE 9 14 2 5 W14 6370 S 5 21900 P 08/02-18 92 60 38 69 53 SE 8 13 2 5 W12 6026 S 6 28102 P 08/02-19 92 60 38 67 58 SE 7 7 2 5 W 9 4671 S 6 23352 P 08/02-20 92 60 38 65 63 SE 7 7 2 5 NW 7 3315 S 7 18601 P 08/02-21 92 60 38 62 70 SE 6 6 2 5 NW 5 1960 S 8 13851 P 08/02-22 92 60 38 60 76 SE 6 6 2 5 NW 3 1466 S 8 10191 P 08/02-23 92 60 38 58 81 S 5 5 2 5 W 2 971 S 7 6532 P 08/03-00 70 20 4 57 84 S 5 5 2 3 CALM 477 S 7 2873 P 08/03-01 70 20 4 56 88 S 5 5 2 3 SW 3 441 S 7 2475 P 08/03-02 70 20 4 55 88 S 3 3 2 3 SW 6 405 S 6 2077 P 08/03-03 70 20 4 55 87 S 3 3 2 3 SW 7 369 S 6 1679 P 08/03-04 70 20 4 55 86 S 3 3 2 3 SW 8 350 S 5 1564 P 08/03-05 70 20 4 55 85 S 3 3 2 3 SW 8 331 S 5 1448 P 08/03-06 61 15 3 54 83 SW 3 3 2 3 SW 8 312 S 5 1333 P 08/03-07 61 15 3 57 74 S 3 3 2 3 W 8 1680 SW 6 8712 P 08/03-08 61 15 3 62 58 S 5 5 2 3 W 8 3048 W 6 16092 P 08/03-09 61 15 3 65 50 SE 5 5 2 3 W 8 4416 W 6 23472 P 08/03-10 61 15 3 69 44 SE 6 6 2 3 W 8 5450 W 7 36348 P 08/03-11 61 15 3 71 40 SE 7 7 2 3 W 9 6484 W 8 49225 F 08/03-12 83 56 32 72 38 E 7 7 2 4 W10 7519 NW 9 62101 G 08/03-13 83 56 32 72 39 SE 6 6 2 4 W14 7346 W 9 59706 F 08/03-14 83 56 32 71 41 SE 6 6 2 4 W17 7173 W 9 57312 F 08/03-15 83 56 32 70 43 SE 5 5 2 4 W21 7001 W 9 54918 F 08/03-16 83 56 32 70 46 SE 6 6 2 4 W21 5871 W 8 41764 F 08/03-17 83 56 32 69 51 S 6 6 2 4 NW20 4741 W 6 28610 P 08/03-18 80 42 19 67 57 SW 5 16 2 4 W25 4380 SW 6 21076 P 08/03-19 80 42 19 65 60 S 8 13 2 4 W22 3082 SW 7 15371 P 08/03-20 80 42 19 63 63 SW 6 6 3 4 W17 1785 W 8 9667 P 08/03-21 80 42 19 61 66 SW 5 5 3 4 W15 487 W 9 3962 P 08/03-22 80 42 19 59 68 SW 5 5 3 4 W13 387 W 9 3198 P 08/03-23 80 42 19 58 68 W 7 7 3 4 W13 288 W10 2434 P 08/04-00 46 7 1 57 68 W 8 13 3 1 W13 188 W10 1670 P 08/04-01 46 7 1 56 69 W 9 14 3 1 W14 187 W10 1696 P 08/04-02 46 7 1 56 70 W 9 15 3 1 SW16 187 W10 1722 P 08/04-03 46 7 1 56 70 W 9 15 3 1 SW18 186 W10 1749 P 08/04-04 46 7 1 55 70 W 9 15 3 1 SW20 182 W10 1700 P 08/04-05 46 7 1 55 69 W 9 15 3 1 SW21 177 W10 1650 P 08/04-06 56 7 1 55 69 W 9 15 3 1 SW21 173 W10 1601 P 08/04-07 56 7 1 57 64 W 9 15 3 1 SW18 1224 W12 13353 P 08/04-08 56 7 1 63 52 W 9 15 3 1 W16 2276 W12 25105 P 08/04-09 56 16 3 66 48 W 9 15 3 3 W14 3328 W13 36857 P 08/04-10 56 16 3 70 42 W 9 15 3 3 W13 5290 W13 55127 F 08/04-11 56 16 3 73 40 W 9 15 2 3 SW13 7252 W12 73397 G 08/04-12 73 39 17 73 40 W 9 15 2 4 SW14 9215 W12 91666 G 08/04-13 73 39 17 74 39 W 9 15 2 4 SW14 8995 W12 91999 G 08/04-14 73 39 17 73 41 W10 16 2 4 SW15 8775 W13 92331 G 08/04-15 73 39 17 72 43 W10 16 2 4 SW15 8555 W13 92663 G 08/04-16 73 39 17 72 44 W10 17 2 4 SW14 7625 W13 85468 G 08/04-17 73 39 17 70 47 W10 17 3 4 W13 6695 W14 78272 G 08/04-18 57 26 6 69 50 W10 16 3 4 W13 5765 W14 71077 G 08/04-19 57 26 6 67 54 W10 16 3 4 W13 4022 W15 49682 F 08/04-20 57 26 6 64 60 W 9 15 3 4 W14 2279 W15 28287 P 08/04-21 57 26 6 62 66 W 9 15 3 4 W14 535 W15 6893 P 08/04-22 57 26 6 59 73 W 9 15 3 4 W13 434 W14 5417 P 08/04-23 57 26 6 57 76 W10 16 3 4 W13 334 W13 3941 P 08/05-00 22 8 2 56 78 W10 16 3 1 SW13 233 W13 2466 P 08/05-01 22 8 2 55 79 W10 17 3 1 SW13 219 W12 2279 P 08/05-02 22 8 2 54 79 W10 16 3 1 SW15 204 W12 2092 P 08/05-03 22 8 2 54 77 W10 16 3 1 SW16 190 W12 1906 P 08/05-04 22 8 2 54 76 W10 17 3 1 W17 182 W12 1762 P 08/05-05 22 8 2 54 74 W10 17 3 1 W18 175 W10 1619 P 08/05-06 40 10 2 53 73 W10 16 3 2 W20 167 W10 1475 P 08/05-07 40 10 2 56 66 W 9 15 3 2 W21 1692 W10 17458 P 08/05-08 40 10 2 63 52 SW 9 14 3 2 W23 3217 W12 33441 P 08/05-09 40 10 2 67 46 SW 8 13 3 2 W24 4741 W12 49423 F 08/05-10 40 10 2 71 40 SW 8 13 3 2 W24 6582 W14 88056 G 08/05-11 40 10 2 74 36 W 8 14 3 2 W24 8423 W16 126688 V 08/05-12 47 30 9 74 35 W 9 15 3 4 W24 10264 W18 165321 E 08/05-13 47 30 9 76 34 W10 16 3 4 W22 10548 W17 161747 E 08/05-14 47 30 9 75 35 W10 17 3 4 W20 10831 W17 158173 E 08/05-15 47 30 9 74 37 W12 18 3 4 W16 11114 W16 154600 E 08/05-16 47 30 9 73 37 W13 21 3 4 W15 9120 W16 129093 V 08/05-17 47 30 9 72 39 W15 23 4 4 W13 7126 W17 103587 V 08/05-18 47 30 9 70 40 W15 24 4 4 W12 5131 W17 78081 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110802.LOST_.01/BOU