FNUS72 KMFL 021329 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR AFTERNOON FIRE...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 929 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0856 EDT ON AUGUST 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS JUST TO THE NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE WITH A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. DURING THE MORNING HOURS A LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN AREA. BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON A WEAK EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL FORM...BUT MAY NOT PENETRATE FAR ENOUGH INLAND TO THE BURN AREA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTH SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY. A LIGHT WESTERLY WIND FLOW IS FORECAST ACROSS THE BURN AREA TONIGHT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........20 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS TEMP............84 91 94 94 92 89 RH..............94 65 52 52 59 61 20 FT WIND......W 1 SW 3 SW 3 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 1 SW 3 SW 3 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 5000 5000 5000 5000 4500 MIXNG WIND......W 1 SW 6 SW 6 S 9 SW 9 SW 9 DISPERSION IDX..5 35 35 41 41 23 LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 LAL.............2 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 0 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............10. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 0 TO 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...DIEHL REQUESTED BY...AERIN LAND TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110802.AFTER.01/MFL