FNUS72 KMLB 021326
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DWP ZONE 4...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
926 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0920 EDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL
PRODUCE RELATIVELY LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE BURN SITE
TODAY WITH WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH. A MOIST
AIRMASS WILL HELP PROMOTE ABOVE NORMAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE AFTERNOON AS INLAND MOVING EAST AND WEST
COAST SEA BREEZES INTERACT WITH LAKE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OVER
THE INTERIOR. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY
WHICH WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS FROM VARIABLE
DIRECTIONS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS.
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        ISO SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............84  87  88  90  94  92  90  89  86  84  83  81
RH..............74  65  63  58  49  52  56  57  65  70  72  77
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.                10  10  15  15  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............8.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...NEIL CLINEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110802.DWPZO.01/MLB