FNUS75 KBOU 032151 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 345 PM MDT WED AUG 3 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LOOKS LIKE THE STRONGEST STORMS HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE FIRE AREA BUT THERE WILL STILL BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THROUGH THIS EVENING. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73. MIN HUMIDITY........47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-53. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOST. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/03-15 71 40 18 70 48 SW 6 6 2 4 NW18 7011 NW 9 59587 F 08/03-16 71 40 18 71 48 SW 6 6 2 4 NW17 6843 NW 9 56194 F 08/03-17 71 40 18 70 49 SW 6 6 2 4 NW14 6674 NW 9 52801 F 08/03-18 80 37 15 71 47 SW 6 6 2 4 N10 6505 NW 9 49407 F 08/03-19 80 37 15 70 50 SW 5 5 2 4 NW 7 5172 NW 9 40209 F 08/03-20 80 37 15 67 54 SW 3 3 2 4 W 5 3839 W 9 31010 P 08/03-21 80 37 15 65 58 W 3 3 2 4 W 2 2505 W10 21811 P 08/03-22 80 37 15 63 59 W 5 5 2 4 W 3 1823 W10 16145 P 08/03-23 80 37 15 62 59 W 6 6 2 4 SW 6 1140 W12 10480 P 08/04-00 50 7 1 60 61 W 7 7 2 1 SW 9 458 W13 4815 P 08/04-01 50 7 1 58 63 W 8 13 2 1 SW12 400 W13 4302 P 08/04-02 50 7 1 57 66 W 9 14 2 1 SW14 342 W13 3790 P 08/04-03 50 4 1 56 67 W 9 15 2 1 SW16 284 W14 3278 P 08/04-04 50 4 1 56 68 W 9 15 2 1 SW16 268 W13 2971 P 08/04-05 50 4 1 56 68 W 9 15 3 1 SW16 252 W13 2665 P 08/04-06 54 7 1 56 66 W 9 15 3 1 W16 236 W12 2358 P 08/04-07 54 7 1 57 65 W10 16 3 1 W15 1342 W14 18960 P 08/04-08 54 7 1 61 57 W10 17 2 1 W14 2449 W15 35562 P 08/04-09 55 18 4 64 51 W12 18 2 3 W13 3556 W17 52164 F 08/04-10 55 18 4 67 47 W12 18 2 3 W13 5128 W16 69663 G 08/04-11 55 18 4 69 44 W12 18 2 3 W13 6701 W15 87162 G 08/04-12 73 40 18 71 43 W12 18 2 4 W13 8274 W15 104661 V 08/04-13 73 40 18 72 42 W10 17 2 4 W13 8606 W14 99336 G 08/04-14 73 40 18 73 42 W10 16 2 4 W14 8938 W13 94012 G 08/04-15 73 40 18 73 41 W 9 15 2 4 W14 9270 W12 88688 G 08/04-16 73 40 18 74 40 W 9 15 2 4 W13 9131 W10 81583 G 08/04-17 73 40 18 73 39 W 9 15 3 4 W12 8992 W 9 74479 G 08/04-18 60 31 10 72 39 SW 9 15 3 4 NW12 8853 W 9 67375 G 08/04-19 60 31 10 70 42 SW 8 14 3 4 W10 6419 W 8 47598 F 08/04-20 60 31 10 68 46 SW 7 7 3 4 W12 3986 SW 7 27821 P 08/04-21 60 31 10 65 52 S 6 6 3 4 W12 1553 SW 6 8044 P 08/04-22 60 31 10 58 66 S 5 5 3 4 W13 256 SW 6 1334 P 08/04-23 60 31 10 57 70 SW 5 5 3 4 W13 221 SW 6 1154 P 08/05-00 22 5 1 56 71 SW 5 5 3 1 W14 186 SW 6 973 P 08/05-01 22 5 1 55 73 SW 5 5 3 1 W14 178 SW 7 991 P 08/05-02 22 5 1 54 74 SW 6 6 3 1 W14 170 SW 7 1010 P 08/05-03 22 5 1 54 72 SW 7 7 3 1 W13 162 SW 7 1028 P 08/05-04 22 5 1 54 72 SW 8 13 3 1 W13 158 SW 8 1039 P 08/05-05 22 5 1 54 70 W 8 14 3 1 W14 154 W 8 1049 P 08/05-06 38 10 2 53 70 W 9 15 3 2 W14 150 W 8 1060 P 08/05-07 38 10 2 56 61 W 9 15 3 2 W14 1981 W 9 20963 P 08/05-08 38 10 2 64 44 SW 9 15 3 2 W15 3811 W12 40866 F 08/05-09 38 10 2 68 36 SW 9 15 3 2 W16 5642 W13 60768 G 08/05-10 38 10 2 73 29 SW10 16 3 2 W18 8105 W14 97396 G 08/05-11 38 10 2 77 25 W10 17 3 2 W21 10568 W14 134025 V 08/05-12 54 30 9 77 25 W12 18 3 4 W22 13031 W15 170653 E 08/05-13 54 30 9 78 24 W12 18 3 4 W21 12786 W16 175194 E 08/05-14 54 30 9 77 26 W13 20 3 4 W20 12542 W16 179736 E 08/05-15 54 30 9 75 29 W13 21 3 4 W18 12297 W17 184277 E 08/05-16 54 30 9 76 30 W14 23 3 4 W18 10183 W17 153045 E 08/05-17 54 30 9 74 34 W16 25 3 4 W17 8070 W17 121812 V 08/05-18 54 30 9 72 38 W16 25 3 4 W18 5956 W17 90579 G 08/05-19 54 30 9 69 42 W14 22 3 4 W18 4058 W16 61267 G 08/05-20 54 30 9 65 47 W10 16 3 4 W20 2160 W14 31954 P 08/05-21 54 30 9 62 52 W 7 7 3 4 NW20 261 W12 2641 P 08/05-22 54 30 9 59 57 W 6 6 3 4 W18 229 W12 2230 P 08/05-23 54 30 9 57 61 W 6 6 3 4 W16 197 W10 1819 P 08/06-00 26 5 1 56 62 SW 7 7 3 1 W15 165 W10 1408 P 08/06-01 26 5 1 55 63 W 7 7 3 1 W13 159 W10 1405 P 08/06-02 26 5 1 54 64 W 8 8 4 1 W12 154 W10 1402 P 08/06-03 26 5 1 54 63 W 8 13 4 1 W12 148 W10 1399 P 08/06-04 26 5 1 54 63 W 8 14 4 1 W12 150 W12 1467 P 08/06-05 26 5 1 54 62 W 9 15 4 1 W14 151 W12 1535 P 08/06-06 26 5 1 53 63 W 9 15 4 1 W16 153 W12 1603 P 08/06-07 26 5 1 55 58 W 9 15 4 1 W18 1160 W13 14863 P 08/06-08 26 5 1 63 44 W 8 14 4 1 W22 2168 W14 28123 P 08/06-09 26 5 1 67 38 W 8 13 4 1 W24 3175 W15 41383 F 08/06-10 26 5 1 72 32 W 8 8 4 1 W25 6457 W16 92298 G 08/06-11 26 5 1 76 28 W 7 7 3 1 W26 9739 W16 143213 V 08/06-12 78 30 9 77 27 W 7 7 3 3 W26 13020 W17 194127 E 08/06-13 78 30 9 77 26 W 7 7 3 3 W24 12746 W17 185088 E 08/06-14 78 30 9 76 26 W 8 8 3 3 W20 12472 W16 176049 E 08/06-15 78 30 9 74 28 W 8 13 3 3 W17 12198 W16 167010 E 08/06-16 78 30 9 75 28 W 8 13 3 3 W16 9997 W16 137107 V 08/06-17 78 30 9 73 31 W 8 13 3 3 W16 7797 W16 107204 V 08/06-18 78 30 9 71 34 W 8 13 3 3 W17 5597 W16 77300 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110803.LOST_.01/BOU