FNUS72 KMFL 041142
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR AFTERNOON FIRE...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
742 AM EDT THU AUG 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1951 EDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST TODAY LEADING TO LIGHT WINDS
AND POOR DISPERSION. WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WITH IMPROVED DISPERSION. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...MOST FOCUSED OVER THE INTERIOR. THE
WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND WILL ALL DEPEND ON THE TRACK AND STRENGTH
OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY NOW JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........20     40     40     40     50     50
WEATHER COV.....              ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............77     80     87     92     92     89
RH..............90     85     65     56     54     59
20 FT WIND......S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0    S 1    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0    S 1    S 1
EYE LEVEL WIND..
MIX HGT (FT)....200    4000   4000   5000   4800   4800
MIXNG WIND......S 7    S 0    S 0    S 0    S 1    S 1
DISPERSION IDX..3      0      0      0      8      8
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4900 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 54.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...TRACIE LANE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110803.AFTER.01/MFL