FNUS72 KMFL 031612 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR US41 KROME...FHP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1212 PM EDT WED AUG 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 EDT ON AUGUST 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK WESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, INCLUDING THE BURN AREA. A WEAK ATLANTIC COAST SEA BREEZE IS BEGINNING...BUT MAY NOT PENETRATE AS FAR INLAND TO THE BURN SITE...WITH THE WINDS ACROSS THE BURN SITE BEING SOMEWHAT VARIABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A CHANCE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS FROM 40 TO 60 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 40. LVORI...............2. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM SKY (%).........40 50 50 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD TEMP............93 94 92 88 87 83 RH..............58 51 56 61 70 77 20 FT WIND......W 1 E 2 E 2 S 4 SW 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 1 E 2 E 2 S 4 SW 4 SW 3 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 5 5 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 5000 5000 4500 4500 500 MIXNG WIND......W 1 E 5 E 5 S 8 SW 8 SW 6 DISPERSION IDX..8 27 27 40 40 4 LVORI...........2 2 2 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 30 LAL.............2 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 2 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............7. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...DIEHL REQUESTED BY...DOS HEDGECOTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110803.US41K.03/MFL