FNUS72 KMLB 031359
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DWP DORM POND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
959 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1010 EDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFFSHORE NORTHEAST FLORIDA
WILL WEAKEN FURTHER THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER WESTERN
FLORIDA WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST AND DEVELOP CLOSER TO THE BURN AREA
...MAINLY BETWEEN 2 AND 5 PM TODAY. HEAVY DOWNPOURS...SHIFTING AND
GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR NEAR ANY
STORMS TODAY. COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO 30 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............88  89  91  92  92  91  91  90  88  86  83  82
RH..............72  66  61  56  52  52  54  59  63  72  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW WSW W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110803.DWPDO.01/MLB