FNUS74 KMRX 031405
FWSMRX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORT WF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1005 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE HOT AND
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. A WEAK
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT AND
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
LATE TODAY AND AGAIN THROUGH FRIDAY PROVIDING SOME RELIEF FROM THE
HEAT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...6700 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..4600 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........48.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........13  13  23  23  23  44  44  44  54  54  54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............74  78  83  86  89  92  93  94  94  93  91
RH..............64  58  51  46  41  36  35  35  36  38  42
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    EARLY MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....
MIXING WINDS........
DISPERSION..........

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...6400 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..4300 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....4300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........59.

$$
FORECASTER...JERRY HEVRDEYS
REQUESTED BY...NPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110803.SHORT.01/MRX