FNUS72 KJAX 041144
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...GFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
744 AM EDT THU AUG 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0729 EDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY HOT AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO SOAR INTO THE UPPER 90S.  DRY AIR IS
EXPECTED TO MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING
TO NEAR 35% FOR A FEW HOURS. GIVEN THE HEAT AND MOISTURE SOURCE FROM THE
OKEFENOKEE NWR...CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BELOW 10 MPH
TODAY. A SIMILAR WIND REGIME IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER
RAIN CHANCES DUE TO INCREASING MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA AND A DEEPER
SURFACE TROUGH OVER SOUTH GEORGIA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........27     27     28     44     44     44
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............76     89     96     100    99     96
RH..............100    73     49     39     37     46
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 5    W 7    W 7    W 6    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5                    10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   3800   5400   6100   6100   5600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6   SW 6   W 7    W 7    W 7    W 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........44     49     49     49     46     46
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............94     87     83     81     79     77
RH..............46     69     80     85     89     93
20 FT WIND......W 5    NW 3   SW 1   SW 0   SW 1   SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5600   4000   4000   400    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    W 6    W 6    W 3    SW 3   SW 3
LVORI...........7      7      7      7      7      7
DISPERSION INDX.44     3      3      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MOUSEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110804.HONEY.01/JAX