FNUS72 KMFL 041130
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR RACCOON 4...BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
730 AM EDT THU AUG 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 EDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST TODAY LEADING TO LIGHT
WINDS AND POOR DISPERSION. WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH IMPROVED DISPERSION. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...MOST FOCUSED OVER THE
INTERIOR. THE WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND WILL ALL DEPEND ON THE TRACK
AND STRENGTH OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY NOW JUST TO THE SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 14 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........36     36     36     60     60     60
WEATHER COV.....       ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............77     87     92     94     93     89
RH..............100    74     60     52     56     63
20 FT WIND......SW 0   SW 0   SW 0   SW 1   SW 1   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                                   5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 0   SW 0   SW 0   SW 1   SW 1   S 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..                                   5
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4000   5000   5000   5000   4500
MIXNG WIND......SW 6   SW 0   SW 0   SW 1   SW 1   SW 2
DISPERSION IDX..3      0      0      9      9      14
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5100 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 44 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110804.RACCO.01/MFL