FNUS74 KEWX 060022
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EPW FIRE BASTROP...BASTROP OEM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
722 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1855 CDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING FROM SSW TO SOUTH FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS
BASTROP COUNTY. AROUND 9PM TO 10PM...A PREVAILING GENTLE SOUTH WIND FLOW
IS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE AVERAGING FROM 5 TO 13 MPH THIS EVENING WITH
OCCASIONALLY GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT. AFTERWARD...WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED TO BE ON THE 5 TO 13 MPH RANGE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SSW TO S WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTING 20 MPH TO MID.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14  14  14  14  14  14  23  23  23  14  14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............102 99  95  91  89  86  84  83  81  80  79
RH..............27  32  39  45  50  58  64  68  73  77  79
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..12  13  13  13  12  12  10  9   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   10  10  10  9   9   8   6   6   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10      5
HAINES INDEX....5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 103.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...17
REQUESTED BY...MIKE FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110805.EPWFI.01/EWX