FNUS72 KJAX 051128 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE FIRE...DOF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 728 AM EDT FRI AUG 5 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0710 EDT ON AUGUST 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... TODAY AND SATURDAY...A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND THIS WILL ALLOW FOR BOTH SEA BREEZE FRONTS TO PUSH INTO INLAND SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY HOT ONCE AGAIN BUT HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE HIGHER...WHICH WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES OF NEAR 110 TODAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES NEAR 45 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TODAY. LIGHT WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST THEN CHANCE TO MORE WESTERLY IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ALONG WITH CONTINUED HOT MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE 95 TO 100 DEGREE RANGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND THIS WILL PREVENT THE ATLANTIC COAST SEA BREEZE FRONT FROM PUSHING INLAND. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND TO KICK OFF SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....33. CHANCE OF PCPN......40-50 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........36 42 46 54 54 56 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 88 94 97 97 94 RH..............100 81 63 51 48 55 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 7 W 8 W 9 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 11 11 11 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1700 3800 4100 4100 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 6 SW 8 W 10 W 10 W 8 DISPERSION INDX.3 3 39 39 35 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 50 50 50 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1700 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. DISPERSION INDEX....1. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............8. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........56 53 53 51 46 46 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............92 86 82 80 79 77 RH..............55 69 79 85 91 95 20 FT WIND......W 7 W 2 S 1 S 1 S 1 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 1700 1700 200 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 NW 2 NW 2 S 1 S 2 S 2 LVORI...........8 8 8 8 8 8 DISPERSION INDX.28 8 8 1 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 20 20 LAL.............3 3 3 3 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....42. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...KEITH MOUSEL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110805.HONEY.01/JAX