FNUS73 KMQT 051241 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR M-2 POOL DAY 8...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 841 AM EDT FRI AUG 5 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA TODAY AND ALLOW THE LAKE MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZE TO MOVE IN THIS AFTERNOON AT THE BURN SITE. EXPECT MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 45-50 PERCENT. SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS SHOULD POP-UP LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT NO RAIN IS EXPECTED. DRY WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. CHANCES OF RAIN WILL INCREASE LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO EXCEED ONE-QUARTER INCH FROM THIS SYSTEM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 AT IGNITION...MAX 86. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (179) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (512). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...THEN INCREASING TO 4500-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........33 31 31 37 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 84 84 84 83 RH..............61 50 49 51 53 GENERAL WIND....SW 5 SW 5 S 7 S 8 S 6 GENERAL GUST....10 10 12 12 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.179 390 512 409 252 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 4900 5700 5100 3600 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 63. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (2). MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........44 40 34 29 31 33 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG FOG TEMP............81 74 69 67 66 63 RH..............56 68 78 79 86 96 GENERAL WIND....S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 S 4 SW 4 GENERAL GUST....10 10 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.187 43 2 8 7 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 900 100 300 200 200 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (491). MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5600 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........35 35 34 34 41 50 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............67 74 81 84 84 84 RH..............85 70 56 54 52 52 GENERAL WIND....SW 4 SW 4 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 GENERAL GUST....5 5 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.11 70 176 353 445 476 MIX HGT (FT)....400 1700 3500 5000 5600 5300 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110805.M2POO.01/MQT