FNUS75 KRIW 051437
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTON POINT...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
837 AM MDT FRI AUG 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0745 MDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
FIRE AREA AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA. THE AIRMASS WILL DRY OVER
THE WEEKEND LEADING TO ONLY ISOLATED LATE DAY STORMS. MINIMUM RH'S WILL ALSO
LOWER FROM THE 20S MORE INTO THE UPPER TEENS AS THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 AT 8000 FEET AND 65 AT 10000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 AT 8000 FEET AND 30 PERCENT AT 10000 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST AT 3 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY 1000. WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST ALONG THE FRONTIER CREEK
                    AT THE SAME SPEEDS AND SOUTHWEST ALONG THE CALDWELL
                    CREEK. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.31 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600-9600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (49600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (148000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-74 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND GUSTY EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING EXCEPT NORTHWEST ALONG THE FRONTIER CREEK.
                    WINDS BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.23 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (102700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (4700 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74 AT 8000 FEET AND 66 AT 10000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 AT 8000 FEET AND 23 PERCENT AT 10000 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST AT 5-9 MPH EXCEPT NORTHWEST ALONG THE FRONTIER
                    CREEKA ND SOUTHWEST ALONG THE CALDWELL CREEK.
                    GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.14 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100-11100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (77000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (150600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...TIM HAAS ICT3T
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110805.NORTO.01/RIW