FNUS72 KJAX 060726
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP  44...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
326 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL ALLOW FOR THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COAST SEA
BREEZE FRONTS TO COLLIDE JUST EAST OF THE WILDFIRE LOCATION THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 90S WITH HEAT INDICES
TOPPING OUT CLOSE TO 110 DEGREES. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN WEST
THROUGH THE DAY BUT WILL BECOME VARIABLE AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
DEVELOPS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........22     24     24     49     55
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............83     92     96     97     94
RH..............79     59     49     46     50
20 FT WIND......SW 1   SW 3   SW 5   W 6    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.2      5      7      8      10
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   4400   4400   6700   5600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3   SW 6   SW 6   W 5    W 6
LAL.............1      1      1      3      3

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
MIX HGT (FT)....5600   1700   1700   300    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    SW 5   SW 5   SW 3   SW 5   SW 5

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...MARK PLOSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110806.COMP4.01/JAX