FNUS74 KMAF 070116 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR LINCOLN CANYON...NM STATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 816 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1809 MDT ON AUGUST 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING A CONTINUED SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG ERRATIC WIND GUSTS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD OVER THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A DRIER AIRMASS TO THE BURN SITE MONDAY AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON OR EVENING STORM WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY...THOUGH CHANCES WILL BE NOTABLY LOWER. RECOVERY AT NIGHT SHOULD BE FAIR TO GOOD. MINIMUM RH/S SHOULD FALL TO AROUND 25 PCT SUNDAY...AND CLOSER TO 15 PCT MONDAY. WINDS WILL VARY IN DIRECTION...ESPECIALLY NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. WINDS GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60000 KNOT-FT). TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM CHC PCPN (%)....10 10 10 20 20 20 TEMP............64 69 77 85 87 88 RH..............69 59 46 32 27 25 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW S SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 4000 7500 8000 9500 TRANS WIND DIR..W W N E SE SE TRANS WIND SPD..6 6 2 5 5 6 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........60 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (53500 KNOT-FT) IN THE EVENING...BECOMING POOR WITH DEVELOPING INVERSION. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....20 20 20 10 10 10 TEMP............85 79 74 71 69 68 RH..............27 35 44 49 54 58 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 11 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 MIX HGT (FT)....9500 9500 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..S S SW W W W TRANS WIND SPD..6 6 4 5 5 8 VENT CAT........GOOD FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........16 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW). CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (120000 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON). TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM CHC PCPN (%)....10 10 10 10 10 10 TEMP............66 71 80 88 91 93 RH..............60 49 33 23 18 15 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW N NE NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 9 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 5000 13000 13000 15500 TRANS WIND DIR..W W N N N N TRANS WIND SPD..9 9 11 7 7 7 VENT CAT........POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...LINDSEY REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110806.LINCO.01/MAF