FNUS72 KMFL 070142
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PITCH...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
942 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2120 EDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DEPRESSION EMILY WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST AWAY FROM
SOUTH FLORIDA ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A 5 MPH SOUTHWEST
WIND FLOW OVER THE WILDFIRE SITE ON SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME WE ARE
EXPECTING A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING FOLLOWED
BY A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON THE WILDFIRE SITE WILL ONLY
FALL DOWN TO AROUND 60 PERCENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE DISPERSION
INDEX WILL ALSO BE IN THE 20S WHICH IS POOR CONDITIONS FOR SUNDAY.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 29.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     53     53     53     53     53
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............79     80     88     92     92     91
RH..............88     88     68     60     60     60
20 FT WIND......W 1    S 2    S 2    SW 3   W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 1    S 2    S 2    SW 3   W 5    W 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..       5      5      5      15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....200    1400   1400   3800   5000   5000
MIXNG WIND......W 1    S 3    S 3    SW 6   W 10   W 10
DISPERSION IDX..1      11     11     18     29     29
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     30     30
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 43.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...RHONDA HAGEDORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110806.PITCH.01/MFL