FNUS73 KMQT 061409 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR M-2 POOL DAY 9...USFWS SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1009 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 EDT ON AUGUST 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ALONG LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES...HOWEVER MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...A BETTER CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE IN THE WEST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE AT LEAST A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN FROM THIS COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 AT IGNITION...MAX 86. MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND BECOMING CALM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (305) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (462). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6600 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........55 57 58 59 61 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 79 85 86 85 RH..............78 66 56 55 56 GENERAL WIND....SW 3 S 4 SW 4 SW 4 W 3 GENERAL GUST....5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.220 387 446 397 242 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 4800 6400 6600 6100 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 63. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH OR LESS LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.06 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........62 61 60 59 63 68 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 75 70 68 66 64 RH..............62 74 85 85 91 100 GENERAL WIND....N 3 N 3 W 2 SW 3 SW 3 S 4 GENERAL GUST.... 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.148 68 32 8 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....4900 3400 1600 300 BLW100 BLW100 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 70 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (461) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (760) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.40 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........69 69 70 70 69 67 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............67 71 76 78 78 78 RH..............93 83 75 74 71 70 GENERAL WIND....SE 5 SE 5 S 6 SE 7 SE 7 NE 7 GENERAL GUST....10 10 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.52 219 461 703 760 742 MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 2700 3700 4000 3900 $$ FORECASTER...MICHELS REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110806.M2POO.01/MQT