FNUS75 KGJT 080211
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COSGROVE...GJAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
811 PM MDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1928 MDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST AT LEAST THROUGH THE
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSED TO OUR NORTH
THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA. ON MONDAY...WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS STRONG DUE TO WEAK RIDGING OVER
THE REGION.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-12 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 25
                    MPH...QUICKLY DECREASING AFTER 2000...THEN AS
                    THE SUN SETS WINDS WILL BECOME DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. TOWARDS MORNING THE LARGER
                    SCALE DRAINAGE WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
                    MAY RESULT IN A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION OVER
                    THE BURN SITE.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH...BECOMING 5 MODERATE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-6 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH
                    AFTER 1200...THEN INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS 18-20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...GARY HELMING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110807.COSGR.01/GJT