FNUS75 KGJT 071311
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAYON FIRE...SOUTHERN UTE BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
711 AM MDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0657 MDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TRANQUIL WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY WITH
NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED AND VERY MINIMAL CLOUDS. HUMIDITIES
WILL BE A LITTLE LOWER THAN YESTERDAY WITH WINDS REACHING 15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. SMOKE DISPERSAL
WILL BE EXCELLENT BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS
WINDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE WITH HEIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1PM.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050 AFTER 1PM.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1PM
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 9PM.
CLEARING INDEX......950 DECREASING TO 100 AFTER 9PM.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AFTER 9PM.                    .
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110807.PAYON.01/GJT