FNUS72 KJAX 071140
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY PRAIRIE...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
740 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY...A WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE THE RULE AS THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL
BE WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES AROUND THE HONEY PRAIRIE WILL
BE ABOUT 45 TO 50 PERCENT. HOT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
90S AND THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND TO KICK OFF SCATTERED AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST
AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND MONDAY...
WITH STRONG AND SHIFTING WINDS IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40-50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........26     32     42     60     60
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....       NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............78     87     94     97     95
RH..............93     71     56     49     50
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 8    W 12   W 12   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1700   3900   5400   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 9    W 15   W 16   W 16
DISPERSION INDX.4      6      61     55     55
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     15     20     40     50
LAL.............1      1      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30-40 PERCENT...MAINLY EARLY EVENING.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........62     55     55     44     42     38
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............91     86     83     81     79     78
RH..............56     68     77     81     85     88
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 6    W 5    SW 5   W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   1800   1800   400    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15   W 9    W 9    W 7    W 7    W 7
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.61     21     21     5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     20     20     10     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30-40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MOUSEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110807.HONEY.01/JAX